Topline

Two named storms are now raging in the Atlantic Ocean after Tropical Storm Earl landed on Friday evening, as activity increases after a nearly two-month calm period that left many forecasters baffled.

Highlights

Earl was located just north of the Leeward Islands late Saturday morning, with maximum sustained winds of 40 mph.

Tropical Storm Danielle, which formed on Thursday, drifted over a remote region of the central Atlantic and blew maximum sustained winds of 70 mph on Saturday morning.

Neither system is an imminent threat to land – Earl is expected to remain a tropical storm for the next five days as it moves seaward, while Danielle is likely to revert to a hurricane before shifting to an extratropical system. by the middle of next week several hundred miles north of the Azores.

To monitor

September 10 is the historic peak of tropical activity in the Atlantic Basin, although no other systems are expected to develop in the next five days.

Key context

Seasonal forecasts predicted that the 2022 season would be among the busiest in history, but these predictions have so far not materialized. Danielle’s formation on Thursday ended a streak of more than eight weeks without a named storm, dating back to when Tropical Storm Colin died out on July 3. Last month was the first August without a named storm in the Atlantic Basin since 1997, and the complete stretch of inactivity between July 3 and the end of August marked the first time this time of the season has gone without named storm since 1941, according to Colorado State University researcher Philip Klotzbach.

Further reading

Hurricane Danielle Forms – The first of an unusually calm season (Forbes)

First named Atlantic tropical storm forms after historic two-month lull (Forbes)

Hurricane activity could spike in coming weeks after lull in July, forecasters say (Forbes)

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