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Commodity prices are rising as fears grow that Russian supplies will be disrupted by the ongoing war in Ukraine and sanctions imposed on Moscow.

Nickel, used in stainless steel and lithium-ion batteries, more than doubled this morning to a record high above $100,000 a tonne on the London Metal Exchange, before falling back a bit.

The stunning rise in nickel came as banks reduced their exposure to Russian commodity suppliers and major shippers shunned the country’s major ports, driving up metal prices dramatically. Russia is the third largest nickel producer, Reuters points out.

Nickel finished last year at $20,757/ton but has risen significantly in recent days. This price spike threatens to drive up factory prices, adding to inflationary pressures on consumers, and also crushing traders who had bet against it.

Bloomberg reports:

The London Metal Exchange market is in the throes of a massive squeeze in which holders of substantial short positions are forced to hedge at a time of low liquidity. To give an idea of ​​the staggering rise of nickel, it has risen by around $11,000 per ton over the past five years. This week alone, it jumped $72,000.

“It’s getting crazy – it doesn’t reflect any of the fundamentals of the industry,” said Jiang Hang, head of trading at Yonggang Resources Co. The “LME trading system is out of control and requires intervention,” or contagion may spread. spread to other metals, he said.

Late Monday, the LME decided to allow traders to defer delivery obligations on all its major contracts – including nickel – in an unusual change for a 145-year-old institution that bills itself as the “market of last resort”. for metals. The LME also gave a unit of China Construction Bank Corp. additional time to pay hundreds of millions of dollars in margin calls due Monday, according to people familiar with the matter.

Javier Blas

BOOM!!! Nickel prices climb above $100,000 a ton on a huge metal in the near term. The London Metal Exchange granted a unit of China Construction Bank Corp. additional time to pay for missed margin calls on Monday. Follow @jfarchy for more and read this https://t.co/4lO5xbW3ph pic.twitter.com/BWaJodhiGC

March 8, 2022

Other metals such as tin, zinc and copper are also up on fears that supplies from Russia could be disrupted by the war in Ukraine.

Palladium, used by automakers in engine exhaust to reduce emissions, has also hit record highs as financial sanctions on Russia, which produces 25-30% of the world’s supply, disrupt shipments and exacerbate a supply shortage.

“Commodity markets are increasingly pricing in a scenario in which a significant portion of Russian supply will be squeezed out of the market,” Morgan Stanley said in a note earlier this week.

“Prices are likely to remain very volatile, until the true impact on supply becomes clearer and prices can begin to settle at a new equilibrium.”

Francine Lacqua

Nickel surged above the all-time high of $100,000 a tonne on the London Metal Exchange amid a huge short-term squeeze. A table over 5 years. pic.twitter.com/nT1OayU3QE

March 8, 2022

Stock markets are poised for further losses today as investors grow increasingly concerned about the economic outlook.

Wall Street suffered its biggest drop in more than a year last night as soaring oil prices threaten to push inflation even higher and slow the recovery. The selloff sent the tech-focused Nasdaq index into a bear market, down 20% from its all-time high.

Kicklighter Jeans

Risk aversion intensified from this week. (Implicit) volatility jumped across a range of assets I’m watching for sentiment while the $NDX and $DAX are in the official “bear” markets… and Japan $NKY is on the verge of. https://t.co/q4y2rkoz0E pic.twitter.com/ca2zoasuc9

March 8, 2022

European markets are set to fall further, after the German DAX also fell into a bear market last night.

Paul de Jong🌐

The German DAX index fell into a bear market. #DAX #Germany #invest pic.twitter.com/taTiN2q6qT

March 7, 2022

Jeremy Naylor

#Tuesday mkts more losses in Europe. #FTSE100 best performer as #nickelsqueeze keep on going. #Ruble record low #Russia fault? #Macdonalds #Coca Cola backlash over Russia’s refusal to withdraw. #Gold $2,006 #oil #wheat keep the winnings. #CallEarlyMorning 07:30 UK – https://t.co/stRkpyHz0b pic.twitter.com/ndQQttzpcL

March 8, 2022

Energy prices could also remain volatile, after the The Kremlin threatened to cut off gas supplies to Europe and warned that the price of oil could soar to $300 a barrel if Western allies escalate their economic war on Russia by banning energy imports.


  • 11am GMT: BEIS Committee session on the impact of the Russian invasion of Ukraine on energy security in the UK and Europe
  • 13:30 GMT: US trade balance for January
  • 3pm GMT: IBD/TIPP survey on US economic optimism


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