By Tony Fairbairn

  • Iga Swiatek [1] v Ons Jabeur [5]
  • H2H: Tied 2-2
NEW YORK, USA — The top two players on the women’s circuit this season face off for the US Open title as world number one Iga Swiatek takes on Ons Jabeur.
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Iga Swiatek [1] v Ons Jabeur [5] Fundamentals of H2H and matches

by Iga Swiatek pursuit of a third Grand Slam title survived a stern test of Aryna Sabalenka but the world number one played her best tennis when she had to reach another Grand Slam final. Swiatek didn’t play her best tennis during the tournament but produced effective results as she looks to complete a dream season. Stand in the way of Swiatek is Ons Jabeur who won convincingly Caroline Garcia to reach his second consecutive Grand Slam final. Jabeur is looking to win her first Grand Slam title and create more history for African tennis in what has been an incredible season for the Tunisian.

Iga Swiatek [1] v Ons Jabeur [5] H2H: Tied 2-2
US Open 2022 New York, United States
Hard (H) Prize money: $1,300,000/$2,600,000
Second at Arthur Ashe Stadium (21:00 BST) Amazon Prime Video

Swiatek and Jabeur’s only meeting this season saw the world number one lose just four games in the Rome final.

Tale of the Tape – Key Stats (2022)

H2H: Iga Swiatek (WR 1) Ons Jabeur (WR 5)
Tournament best precedent R4 (2021) R3 (2019, 2020, 2021)
1st Service Return Points % 44.8 40.5
% of return points earned 51.2 46.2
Breakpoint Conversion % 53 50
% breakpoint recorded 59.9 55.2
Total Points Earned % 56.1 53.1

Swiatek’s clinical and efficient return will be crucial in this game, but Jabeur’s efficient service on the big points is what makes this game so fascinating.

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Styles of play and prediction

Swiatek had to work their way through the tournament with tough wins Jule Niemeier and Sabalenka testing the Pole’s ability to find a way to win. However, the world number one has passed every test in the past fortnight and is now one victory away from claiming her first Grand Slam title outside of Roland Garros.

After his semi-final win, Swiatek reflected on his tournament so far and his emotional control leading up to this match:

“I’m quite happy that even though I may not have felt 100% perfect since the start of the tournament, I was still able to improve and play a really solid match. It’s the best thing basically,” Swiatek told the ATA website.

“Like, on clay, I just feel perfect. But for me to win when I don’t feel perfect is the best kind of thing and the best feeling. The satisfaction is quite big.

“Before, I felt like my emotions were taking over and I freaked out a bit when I lost. For sure I grew, I learned a lot. And the work we put in with Daria [Abramowicz, her sports psychologist] definitely helped. Right now it’s just easier for me to think logically about what I can change. And I feel like I got more skills to do it [rather] more than one type of way to play.

Swiatek will face her toughest test yet as she takes on Jabeur who is in her second straight Grand Slam final playing confident and resilient tennis.

The Tunisian is the second-best player this season behind Swiatek and her latest win against Garcia reminded her why she can be so dangerous to face. Ahead of his second consecutive Grand Slam final, Jabeur spoke about his experience at Wimbledon and how it compares to being in the final in New York:

“It feels more real to me, to be honest with you, just to be in the final again,” Jabeur told the ATA website.

“At Wimbledon, I was just living a dream, and I couldn’t believe it. Even right after the match, I was just going to do my thing and didn’t realize it was already an incredible achievement. But now, I just hope I get used to it. I’m just glad I backed the results at Wimbledon and people aren’t really surprised that I’m in the final.

Swiatek will be looking to use his impressive return and impressive transition play from defensive positions to swing the game in his favor. While Jabeur will be looking to continue to be aggressive and use their impressive serve to dictate the points.

If Jabeur can keep her game mentally and not let the nerves get to her, she has a great chance of winning. However, Swiatek’s ability to win when she’s not playing her best must make her her favorite for the title, not to mention she believes that when she’s on her game no one can touch her on the circuit at the moment.

Prediction: Swiatek in three sets.

How to watch/follow the US Open 2022

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